정치외교연구소 워크샵: Presidential Personalities and Constitutional Power Grabs in Latin America, 1945-2021

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안녕하세요.

정치학과 4단계 BK21 교육연구단입니다.

Ignacio Arana Araya 교수님을 모시고 “Presidential Personalities and Constitutional Power Grabs in Latin America, 1945-2021”라는 주제로 특강을 진행하오니 많은 관심 부탁드립니다.

관심 있는 학부·대학원생 및 연구자 여러분의 많은 참여를 바랍니다.

일시: 2026년 09월 11일(금) 오전 10:00 - 오후 12:00

장소: 연세대학교 연희관 201호

사회: 백우열 교수(연세대학교 정치외교학과)

발표자: Ignacio Arana Araya 교수님(Carnegie Mellon University)

주최: 연세대학교 정치외교연구소, 연세대학교 정치학과 BK21 교육연구단

National leaders worldwide are eroding democracy, yet it remains unclear which ones are most likely to undermine democratic institutions and norms. This book bridges differential psychology and comparative politics to develop a theory explaining when and how presidents’ individual differences impact executive governance.

To test the theory, the author developed the Presidential Database of the Americas (PDA), a unique database that contains biographical and psychometric data on Western Hemisphere presidents since 1945. A total of 688 experts on presidents produced 903 evaluations for 228 Western Hemisphere leaders who governed between 1945 and 2021. Drawing on semi-structured interviews with 24 former presidents from ten countries, the author conducts a comprehensive analysis of Latin American presidential constitutional power grabs between 1945 and 2021, when 14% of the rulers attempted to extend their term limits or expand their powers.

These power grabs have been commonplace across regimes, countries, and historical periods, and the list of perpetrators includes some of the region’s most influential leaders. Statistical analyses reveal that dominant and politically inexperienced presidents are more likely to attempt to relax their term limits, while risk-taking and assertive leaders are more inclined to expand their formal powers. These efforts, in turn, have eroded democracy across the region. By treating political leaders’ traits as independent variables, this book offers new insights into the study of democracy, elites, institutions, and the presidency.

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